The ever-changing pattern in the energy inflation mosaic is likely to come from the Natural Gas prices (both in the US and in Europe) overtaking the leadership from the price of crude oil.

Why?

  1. The price of Natural gas is far, far less politicized – how many ppl quote natgas prices daily?
  2. Adding to the confusion – the units of measurement in Europe and in the US are different (the US uses $/mmBTU while Europe uses Euro/MWH
  3. Europe has almost fully greenlighted Natural Gas as a green fuel
  4. US shipments of NatGas via LNG terminals would structurally grow year over year
  5. Europe is very, very close to banning Russian Crude Oil but sanctioning Russian Natural Gas short term is next to impossible (no immediately alternatives)

Call on what do here…

The ever-changing pattern in the energy inflation mosaic is likely to come from the Natural Gas prices (both in the US and in Europe) overtaking the leadership from the price of crude oil.

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