Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?

Gold vs rates 1.1

In general, Gold and Yields for 10YUS Bonds are not very correlated. For the last 2 years, these two seemingly related assets correlated only half of the time. But currently, our Tools think that a Sell off in Gold is a leading signal for higher interest rates.

See screenshots with our signals for Gold and 10Y US Rates.

Gold vs Rates

Yield on 10Y US Bond is expected to turn higher within a week or so (expecting a Sell for Bonds). That is consistent with a fresh Sell signal on Gold, that our Tools generated on January 14, 2019.

Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?

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