What distinguishes today’s 2 richest dudes (Musk and Bezos) from the previous 2 (Gates and Buffett)?

What distinguishes today’s 2 richest dudes (Musk and Bezos) from the previous 2 (Gates and Buffett)?
Well, both Musk and Bezos pursue relentless CONTINUOUS innovation, while after MS-DOS, Gates only focused on plagiarism, and Buffett just rode the stock market wave…
So, happy to see Mssrs. Musk & Bezos busting to the top….

What distinguishes today’s 2 richest dudes (Musk and Bezos) from the previous 2 (Gates and Buffett)?

Semiconductors and Hardware Companies outperform massively

See how last 10 days Semiconductors and Hardware Companies (bright Green, Yellow and Purple circles) outperform massively software companies and Data companies (blue circle).
This is plotted vs. Valuation EV/Sales on the Horizontal scale
I.e. now, in Tech, outperformance is not only a function of Value but also it favors capital-intensive business over asset-light companies (like Software)..
 
 

Semiconductors and Hardware Companies outperform massively

Why Bitcoin keeps going up every day? 

Just because it is such an important, “productive” asset – you can put it to productive use in so many ways!
Here is the top 10:
1. you can punt Bitcoin
2. you can talk about Bitcoin
3. you can brag about Bitcoin
4. you can be jealous about your friend who claims to buy it with a 400% gain
5. you can read news about Bitcoin
6. you can hate yourself for not buying Bitcoin 6 months ago
7.you can check its price every hour!
8. you can hate it.
9. you can laugh about it
10. you can promise yourself to buy a lot of it on a next dip  
What a great, essential asset!
BTW Zimbabwean dollars perform most of these functions just as well!  And, they are also in a very finite supply (no more than paper and trees on Earth!)

Why Bitcoin keeps going up every day? 

Crypto currencies

If you are still obsessed with Bitcoin, pls note that its younger brother Ethereum is up 45% in 4 days!

Why? TenViz spots massive inflows into ETH from Low Risk Equities (i.e. investors are selling Safe and Quality stocks to buy Crypto currencies).
 
And, yes, markets do associate Crypto currencies with a partial inflation hedge – our Tools notice that moves in ETH and commodities are inter-related

Crypto currencies

Value stocks

The setup for Value stocks outperformance is very favourable: 

1) early cycle recovery is happening

2) inflation is picking up

3) Value is extraordinary cheap compare to Growth

And, the world needs Banks (need mortgages and Loans), Industrial companies (need products to sell on Amazon), and Oil producers (you need Fossil Fuels to charge your Tesla)…

Value stocks

3 compounding primary reasons for inflation to be high.

We observe 3 compounding primary reasons for inflation to be high:

1. Structural primary US budget deficit (ditto most other G7 countries except Germany)
2. Aggressive monetary (over)stimulus
3. Commodity cycle turning up after 7 years of undersupply 

Beyond these drivers, we have nothing to worry about!

3 compounding primary reasons for inflation to be high.

Healthcare exhibits a classic case of Market Failure

Haven, the Amazon-Berkshire-JPMorgan venture to disrupt health care, is disbanding after 3 years

Remember, that this “Haven” was launched with a big fanfare that the smartest brains in Finance & Tech would finally solve the Healthcare nightmare that the US faces…

Well, the US Healthcare is fundamentally unsolvable for a simple reason:

Healthcare exhibits a classic case of Market Failure, because in Healthcare, fundamentally, pricing doesn’t assure best allocation!

Unlike in most other industries…

Many reasons for that – pls revise textbooks on Microeconomics.

To solve the Healthcare in the US, one has to revert to price controls and regulation as they have in Europe, Canada, Australia, Japan, with much, much, much better outcomes for the population….

Healthcare exhibits a classic case of Market Failure

What is bizarre about the Technology sector..

What is bizarre about the Technology sector and its ambition to innovate, is that out of top 3 largest companies, both AAPL and MSFT were founded decades ago.

Purely academically, companies like AAPL and MSFT should be obsolete right now and become marginalized (like an IBM or ORCL)

So, it is a conflict of the a winner-takes-it-all and cements its grip on market while spotting something successful from 50+ years ago? 
Nope, probably, just a grip on a customer, who is expecting a next wave of innovation coming from these giants…

What is bizarre about the Technology sector..

Energy stocks are underperforming..

Even though the price of crude oil is exhibiting decent progressive recovery, the Energy stocks are underperforming because the price of the Natural Gas is down a lot.

Usually, NatGas and Oil move closely but this year their paths have diverged, reflecting local supply/demand imbalances…
 

Energy stocks are underperforming..