There is only one reason to believe that the inflation has peaked:

It is a HOPE.
And, nothing else.

Everything else points to the structurally higher inflation:
1. Regionalization (nearshoring) – started by Trump, accelerated by Covid and the war in Europe
2. Declining (!) work force makes the idea of sewing shirts for c20 there a passe. 
3. The decade of structural underinvestment in commodities, transportation, logistics and agriculture.

All these structural issues are cutely mislabeled as “temporary supply chain bottlenecks”.

Adorable!

There is only one reason to believe that the inflation has peaked:

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