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Should investors playing the recovery/inflation trade by buying Materials stocks index (XLB)?

Should investors playing the recovery/inflation trade by buying Materials stocks index (XLB)?

Should investors playing the recovery/inflation trade by buying Materials stocks index (XLB)?Yes, and no…The issues with XLB is its composition became fairly defensive1. first, it has many gold companies, – Gold is not the place to be in this recovery2. second, it has many packaging companies – defensive names that are effectively a-cyclical3. third, it ...
Markers correctly predicted the broadening reopening.

Markers correctly predicted the broadening reopening.

So far, markers correctly predicted the broadening reopening. Major commodities run ahead in anticipation of wider recovery, AHEAD of recent announcement from a slew of states (TX, CT) that were lifting all restrictions on businesses… Markets have a way of seeing turns before fundamental news confirm them…   ...
Texas is the first major state that has eliminated any mandatory restrictions on business…

Texas is the first major state that has eliminated any mandatory restrictions on business…

Is this the beginning of the reopening? The markets are certainly signalling that with the WFT stocks being down 5-20% and Energy sector being up +36% for the year! Nice…. ...
Q2 of 2021 would be a really interesting

Q2 of 2021 would be a really interesting

Q2 of 2021 would be a really interesting Quarter for earnings, that would be reported only in July though… With the WFT trend firmly in place, it would be fascinating to observe how all these companies that have benefitted from Covid would cycle through their really tough comparisons… The reopening trade would be still so sloooooooooooooooooooooooow. ...
On the fallacy of investor surveys…

On the fallacy of investor surveys…

I know we all want to know what other competitors think, and feeding that crave, many researches run endless surveys – what the market, rates, commodities, stocks will do at some point. But, let’s review this logical trap: 1. no survey will cover all market players 2. even the most open survey participants might unintentionally ...
Strategists associate the fall of Tesla with their distraction with Bitcoin…

Strategists associate the fall of Tesla with their distraction with Bitcoin…

Sure, these are topical, sexy subjects. But in reality, TSLA is just a super expensive stock which is supposed to go down when interest rates jump. Don’t overthink it…. ...