Can Fundamental Investors Benefit from Using Cross Asset Money Flows?
We believe – yes! because: ...
Why Yield Curve Shines at Seeing the Future and Central Banks Don’t
Why the shape of a Yield Curve is a solid predictor of a recession (or a recovery)? I actually never heard a coherent explanation of why a flat or inverted Yield Curves signal recession so well. Typically 99% of answers to that question would center around what a Central Bank of a country would do ...
Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?
In general, Gold and Yields for 10YUS Bonds are not very correlated. For the last 2 years, these two seemingly related assets correlated only half of the time. But currently, our Tools think that a Sell off in Gold is a leading signal for higher interest rates. ...
Chinese Yuan Signals Constructive Outcome To The Trade Dispute?
We adhere to the Soros-Druckenmiller school of thought, which postulates that Markets tend to lead, and news lag: ...
All Eyes on China, And It Does Look Promising… Perfect Trifecta?
It is very surprising, given non-stop macro news pointing to the Slowdown in China, that our tools do like Chinese Currency CNY, Chinese long Bonds, and Chinese Equities. ...