Can Fundamental Investors Benefit from Using Cross Asset Money Flows?

Money Flows

We believe – yes! because: Continue reading “Can Fundamental Investors Benefit from Using Cross Asset Money Flows?”

Can Fundamental Investors Benefit from Using Cross Asset Money Flows?

Why Yield Curve Shines at Seeing the Future and Central Banks Don’t

Yield curve and demand for capital 1

Why the shape of a Yield Curve is a solid predictor of a recession (or a recovery)? I actually never heard a coherent explanation of why a flat or inverted Yield Curves signal recession so well. Typically 99% of answers to that question would center around what a Central Bank of a country would do and what investors think about its possible moves. It has some validity but the argument is incomplete. Continue reading “Why Yield Curve Shines at Seeing the Future and Central Banks Don’t”

Why Yield Curve Shines at Seeing the Future and Central Banks Don’t

Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?

Gold vs rates 1.1

In general, Gold and Yields for 10YUS Bonds are not very correlated. For the last 2 years, these two seemingly related assets correlated only half of the time. But currently, our Tools think that a Sell off in Gold is a leading signal for higher interest rates. Continue reading “Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?”

Is Gold acting as a Leading Indicator for Rates?

Chinese Yuan Signals Constructive Outcome To The Trade Dispute?

Liquidity

We adhere to the Soros-Druckenmiller school of thought, which postulates that Markets tend to lead, and news lag: Continue reading “Chinese Yuan Signals Constructive Outcome To The Trade Dispute?”

Chinese Yuan Signals Constructive Outcome To The Trade Dispute?

All Eyes on China, And It Does Look Promising… Perfect Trifecta?

chinese trifecta1

It is very surprising, given non-stop macro news pointing to the Slowdown in China, that our tools do like Chinese Currency CNY, Chinese long Bonds, and Chinese Equities. Continue reading “All Eyes on China, And It Does Look Promising… Perfect Trifecta?”

All Eyes on China, And It Does Look Promising… Perfect Trifecta?

High Yield Credit Stabilizing, Very Encouraging

High Yield

Have a look at the Spreads for US High Yield (5 Year tenors). Continue reading “High Yield Credit Stabilizing, Very Encouraging”

High Yield Credit Stabilizing, Very Encouraging

Why Apple guide down is SO important, and it is not just about AAPL…

AAPL grey

AAPL just dropped a bad earnings guide-down. Unfortunately, it is not about AAPL! Continue reading “Why Apple guide down is SO important, and it is not just about AAPL…”

Why Apple guide down is SO important, and it is not just about AAPL…

Why Does Australia Look Promising? Down Under Mate…

Autralia looks promising1

TenViz Tools have Buys on Aussie Dollar, Aussie Sovereign Bonds and Australian Equities (ASX200). Why so? What is the hidden message from the markets?

Continue reading “Why Does Australia Look Promising? Down Under Mate…”

Why Does Australia Look Promising? Down Under Mate…

Is 2Y the Most Telling Chart for Fed and Macro?

2Y US vs FED

Have a look at the 2Y US Treasuries Yield Continue reading “Is 2Y the Most Telling Chart for Fed and Macro?”

Is 2Y the Most Telling Chart for Fed and Macro?

Chinese Stars Are Getting Aligned

China tech stars 4

As I posted a week ago China is improving. Check China Сredit Behaving Well! from Dec 3rd. Continue reading “Chinese Stars Are Getting Aligned”

Chinese Stars Are Getting Aligned